Stop calling every line move “sharp money.”

FuturesDesk built a fail-closed Market Tape Decoder that separates comparable price movement, public concentration, catalyst evidence, named-book flow evidence, and what the tape still cannot prove.

5-part comparability gateClaim-by-claim evidence ladderConditional next checksSave + re-check locallyCopyable evidence receipt

WHAT IT SEPARATES

01 · TAPE

Is the move actually comparable?

Same book, exact market/terms, jurisdiction/context, and ordered timestamps.

02 · CROWD

What does the public split prove?

Concentration only — not handle, liability, sharp action, or edge.

03 · CATALYST

Is there a verified reason?

Injury, lineup, weather, news, or other confirmed information event.

04 · FLOW

Do we have named-book evidence?

Ticket, handle, and liability evidence stay separate.

05 · EDGE

Is the current number mispriced?

Not established until an independent fair price exists.

06 · NEXT CHECK

What evidence is still missing?

The decoder generates the next verification steps instead of inventing causality.

Built for repeat use, not a one-time quiz

Save a tape locally, reopen it after the market changes, and copy a deterministic evidence receipt showing which claims are established, unverified, or still open.

What this does not do

It does not turn public percentages into “sharp money,” does not infer sportsbook liability from a line move, and does not manufacture betting edge without an independent fair price.

WHY FUTURESDESK BUILT IT

Sportsbook movement is useful evidence, but movement, capital flow, liability, and value are different states. The decoder keeps those states independent so a cleaner tape leads to a more defensible interpretation instead of a louder story.